Evolving Threat Assessment Constant Mission

The "Evolving Threat Assessment Constant Mission" joint NATO PDD and Aspen Institute Romania international conference is the third event co-organized by the Aspen Institute Romania in collaboration with NATO on topics of allied security. The conference takes place in a complicated and evolving regional security context. It reflects Romania's determination to reassert its role as an allied member state committed to contributing to the deepening of the transatlantic dialogue on pressing issues concerning the security and stability of its region.
The format of the conference offers an excellent opportunity to reflect on the transformations of the European security architecture and on the Allies' defence posture post Warsaw Summit.
The joint purpose of the Aspen Institute Romania and NATO's Public Diplomacy Division is to address Romania's relevance in the region and its role as a contributor in a deepened dialogue on a set of complex issues. These include exploring and properly communicating to wider audiences the concepts of collective security, strategic assurance, deterrence and territorial defence but also the role of ballistic missile defence for allied security.
Confirmed speakers include Mr. Sorin Ducaru, Assistant Secretary General for Emerging Security Challenges, Mr. Michael McNerney, Associate Director, International Security and Defense Policy Center, RAND Corporation, and H.E. Stelian Stoian, Permanent Representative of Romania to NATO.

Preliminary Agenda

19:30 – 21:30 Speakers dinner (off the record - closed to public, by invitation only)

08:30 – 09:00 Registration of Participants and Welcome Coffee

09:00 – 09:10 Opening Remarks
Mircea Geoana, President, Aspen Institute Romania

09:10 – 09:50 Keynote address:
H.E. Sorin Ducaru, Assistant Secretary General for Emerging Security Challenges, NATO
Dan Neculaescu, State Secretary for Strategic Affairs, Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs

09:50 – 11:00 Session I
New Generation Challenges to the Security of the Allies (on the record, open to press)
(Matching threats and Allied capabilities; addressing terrorism, cyber threats, hybrid warfare, fronteer security and migration)

H.E. Sorin Ducaru, Assistant Secretary General for Emerging Security Challenges, NATO
Radu Horia Dorcioman, State Secretary, Ministry of Communications and Informational Society
Florin Cosmoiu, Director of National Cyberint Centre, Romanian Intelligence Service
Dr. Itamara Lochard, Center for Technology & National Security Policy, U.S. National Defense University
Augustin Jianu, Director General, National Response Centre for Cyber Security Incidents (CERT-RO)
Moderator: Radu Tudor, Political and Military Analyst

11:00 – 11:15 Coffee break

11:15 – 12:45 Session II
Defence and Deterrence Posture (off the record, closed to press)
(Ballistic missile defence’s role; Naval capabilities at the Black Sea and Eastern Mediterranean; how does the system work?; National contributions and NATO’s own capabilities; EU and NATO divisions versus cooperation among member states; security of critical infrastructures; force rotation)

Sebastian Huluban, State Councilor, National Security Department, Department of Defense Issues, Romanian Presidential Administration
Capt. Ionel Dan Ciocoiu, Deputy Chief of Training and Doctrine, Romanian Naval Forces
Col. Paul T. Matier, Defense Attaché, Embassy of the United States in Romania
Jakub Cimoradsky, Staff Officer, Ballistic Missile Defence Section, NATO
Moderator: Paul Ivan, Senior Policy Analyst, European Policy Centre

12:45 – 13:45 Lunch Break

13:45 – 15:00 Session III
Outcomes of the Warsaw Summit (off the record, closed to press)
(Security challenges on NATO’s Eastern flank; Strategic assurance; Relevance of territorial security; the merging of the Eastern and Southern flanks; Allied capabilities; Terrorism, Cyber and Hybrid warfare)

Bogdan Aurescu, Presidential Advisor, Foreign Policy Department, Romanian Presidential Administation
H.E. Stelian Stoian, Permanent Representative of Romania to NATO
Brig. Gen. Ovidiu Uifaleanu, Commander, NATO Multinational Division Southeast
Col. Catalin Ticulescu, Commander, NATO Force Integration Unit Romania
Michael McNerney, Associate Director, International Security and Defense Policy Center, RAND Corporation
Hanna Shelest, Editor-in-Chief, UA: Ukraine Analytica
Moderator: Alina Inayeh, Director of Bucharest Office, German Marshall Fund of the United States

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